Safety and unemployment are the main worries of the population
Mejia appears strong on the issue of unemployment but Danilo is higher on safety
Diario Libre
SANTO DOMINGO. A plurality of Dominicans (49%) feels that the country is going in the wrong direction.
For many, the increase in both crime and unemployment is the principle reason for this lack of satisfaction.
Crime, as the principle worry, has increased four points, to 55%, since the Greenberg-Diario Libre poll last March, and unemployment has gone up seven points to 45%.
As is often the case, there exists a gender division in these worries. The women are more worried about crime (57% indicate that it is their major worry, up three points since the beginning of March),while the men are more focused on unemployment (up 10 points to 49%). The young men are even more worried about unemployment: 59% mention it as their principle worry, up 9%).
This gap has political implications. Although the candidate of the Dominican Liberation Party Danilo Medina has a five point advantage over Hipolito Mejia (51% for Danilo to 46% for Hipolito), among voters most worried over the issue of unemployment, Mejia has an advantage of five points.
Nevertheless, the voters worried over the issues of safety, such as crime and drugs, are more strongly in the Medina camp: among those most worried about crime, Medina wins 55% to 42% and an even bigger margin with regards to drugs, 63% to 35%.
Medina has managed to separate himself from Mejia with regard to who would do a better job on the hard issues of safety. At the beginning of March, a plurality of voters (46%) said that Mejia would do a better job fighting crime and criminality, compared to 42% for Medina. But now, the voters have changed, trusting more in Medina and in the PLD on issues of safety, with 49% saying that Medina would do a better job on this issue, up seven points since March and now he has a 6% advantage over Mejia.
Technical details
Greenberg, Quinlan Rosner Research, an international polling firm with headquarters in Washington, D.C., in the United States, conducted and analyzed the poll for the Diario Libre. They interviewed 1022 adult Dominicans of which 737 were identified as probable voters. The survey was taken from 2 until 7 May 2012. The margin of error in the 1,022 samples and 737 samples is more or less 3.1 and 3.6% respectively, with a confidence level of 95%.
For many, the increase in both crime and unemployment is the principle reason for this lack of satisfaction.
Crime, as the principle worry, has increased four points, to 55%, since the Greenberg-Diario Libre poll last March, and unemployment has gone up seven points to 45%.
As is often the case, there exists a gender division in these worries. The women are more worried about crime (57% indicate that it is their major worry, up three points since the beginning of March),while the men are more focused on unemployment (up 10 points to 49%). The young men are even more worried about unemployment: 59% mention it as their principle worry, up 9%).
This gap has political implications. Although the candidate of the Dominican Liberation Party Danilo Medina has a five point advantage over Hipolito Mejia (51% for Danilo to 46% for Hipolito), among voters most worried over the issue of unemployment, Mejia has an advantage of five points.
Nevertheless, the voters worried over the issues of safety, such as crime and drugs, are more strongly in the Medina camp: among those most worried about crime, Medina wins 55% to 42% and an even bigger margin with regards to drugs, 63% to 35%.
Medina has managed to separate himself from Mejia with regard to who would do a better job on the hard issues of safety. At the beginning of March, a plurality of voters (46%) said that Mejia would do a better job fighting crime and criminality, compared to 42% for Medina. But now, the voters have changed, trusting more in Medina and in the PLD on issues of safety, with 49% saying that Medina would do a better job on this issue, up seven points since March and now he has a 6% advantage over Mejia.
Technical details
Greenberg, Quinlan Rosner Research, an international polling firm with headquarters in Washington, D.C., in the United States, conducted and analyzed the poll for the Diario Libre. They interviewed 1022 adult Dominicans of which 737 were identified as probable voters. The survey was taken from 2 until 7 May 2012. The margin of error in the 1,022 samples and 737 samples is more or less 3.1 and 3.6% respectively, with a confidence level of 95%.
Diario Libre
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