Dominican population estimated at 10.2 million
It is believed that 795,509 were not counted
Diario Libre
SD. An analysis of the official numbers of the IX National Population and Housing Census of 2010, shows that the population of the Dominican Republic should be 10,240,790 instead of 9,445,281 which was reported by the government. This is because some 795,509 were not counted due to possible omissions during the census.
This was the estimate by investigators of the Dominican Institute of Farming and Forestry Research (IDIAF), economist Pedro Juan del Rosario and the agronomist Julio Morrobel, who questioned the classification of one area as urban to conclude that in2010 the rural population was reduced to just 26%.
"If you consider the change in the population due to the net births and the territorial changes from the political-administrative decisions taken in the period, then the total population for the year 2010 should be 10,240, 790 (including those that emigrated overseas)."
As a result, there is a difference with respect to the Census2010 of 795,509 persons that emigrated or were omitted in the process of census taking," indicated the analysts.
Del Rosario, who is an economist and the director of the office of IDIAF in the North, and Morrobel, who is in charge of research in that region, said that the houses which were registered as occupied and unoccupied bring the results into question.
"There are 434.995 unoccupied houses in 2010. If this is compared with the similar data of 2002, there was an increase of 650,927 (27%) in houses that were counted in the census and of 190,032 (78%) unoccupied houses for 2010."
"This extraordinary increase could be associated with two phenomena: one makes reference to possible errors in the census taking. In this case, houses that were really occupied were registered as unoccupied," they said.
They recalled that if the house was occupied but the people were absent, the census taker should indicate this on the sheet and return later.
"Apparently many census takers did not return....Anyway, the existence of so many unoccupied houses seems to contradict the housing deficit of the country. In the year 2010 the housing deficit reached, 1,096,000 units," they added.
Rural population
The official data of the 2010 Census, which was done in December of that year and released in a first report in May 2012, indicates that in urban areas there are 7,023,949 persons, representing 74.36%, and in the rural areas there are 2,421,332.
According to the ENHOGAR (At Home)2007 survey, the majority of the members of the household that emigrated to other countries come from the urban areas (81%).
If we apply this same proportion to the total of emigrants who went overseas (403,693), the urban emigrants totaled 326,992 and those from the rural areas 76,702 during the 2002-2020 period.
Therefore, deducting those values from the group of emigrants and persons omitted, the persons omitted in the census are 16,218 in the urban areas and 375,598 in the rural areas," according to the analysis by Morrobel and Del Rosario.
Both men also criticize that the last creation of 161 municipal entities, automatically converted 628,040 persons who live in rural areas into part of the urban population, which could be a hypothesis to explain the reduction in the number of inhabitants in rural areas as shown by the Census.
"There are 628,040 persons that we now call ‘urban residents' but who continue to live in their territory with rural characteristics," they said.
They feel that it is necessary that a new concept of what is rural needs to be adapted to the reality.
This was the estimate by investigators of the Dominican Institute of Farming and Forestry Research (IDIAF), economist Pedro Juan del Rosario and the agronomist Julio Morrobel, who questioned the classification of one area as urban to conclude that in2010 the rural population was reduced to just 26%.
"If you consider the change in the population due to the net births and the territorial changes from the political-administrative decisions taken in the period, then the total population for the year 2010 should be 10,240, 790 (including those that emigrated overseas)."
As a result, there is a difference with respect to the Census2010 of 795,509 persons that emigrated or were omitted in the process of census taking," indicated the analysts.
Del Rosario, who is an economist and the director of the office of IDIAF in the North, and Morrobel, who is in charge of research in that region, said that the houses which were registered as occupied and unoccupied bring the results into question.
"There are 434.995 unoccupied houses in 2010. If this is compared with the similar data of 2002, there was an increase of 650,927 (27%) in houses that were counted in the census and of 190,032 (78%) unoccupied houses for 2010."
"This extraordinary increase could be associated with two phenomena: one makes reference to possible errors in the census taking. In this case, houses that were really occupied were registered as unoccupied," they said.
They recalled that if the house was occupied but the people were absent, the census taker should indicate this on the sheet and return later.
"Apparently many census takers did not return....Anyway, the existence of so many unoccupied houses seems to contradict the housing deficit of the country. In the year 2010 the housing deficit reached, 1,096,000 units," they added.
Rural population
The official data of the 2010 Census, which was done in December of that year and released in a first report in May 2012, indicates that in urban areas there are 7,023,949 persons, representing 74.36%, and in the rural areas there are 2,421,332.
According to the ENHOGAR (At Home)2007 survey, the majority of the members of the household that emigrated to other countries come from the urban areas (81%).
If we apply this same proportion to the total of emigrants who went overseas (403,693), the urban emigrants totaled 326,992 and those from the rural areas 76,702 during the 2002-2020 period.
Therefore, deducting those values from the group of emigrants and persons omitted, the persons omitted in the census are 16,218 in the urban areas and 375,598 in the rural areas," according to the analysis by Morrobel and Del Rosario.
Both men also criticize that the last creation of 161 municipal entities, automatically converted 628,040 persons who live in rural areas into part of the urban population, which could be a hypothesis to explain the reduction in the number of inhabitants in rural areas as shown by the Census.
"There are 628,040 persons that we now call ‘urban residents' but who continue to live in their territory with rural characteristics," they said.
They feel that it is necessary that a new concept of what is rural needs to be adapted to the reality.
Diario Libre
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